Plotting Clinton’s Folly
The news that Hillary Clinton may be our next Secretary of State has triggered all the expected reactions in all the expected quarters: Clintonites are secretly ecstatic, political reporters are not so secretly salivating, and many Obamaphiles are wondering, in a word, WTF?
If the appointment happens, everyone agrees, it will owe much in inspiration to Doris Kearns Goodwin’s 2005 Team of Rivals. The book’s subject is Abraham Lincoln’s Cabinet, to which he appointed three of his rivals for the Republican nomination of 1860, and Obama’s fondness for both the book and its animating idea is well known. Back in May he described Team of Rivals as “wonderful” and spoke admiringly of how Lincoln “basically pulled in all the people who had been running against him into his Cabinet because whatever, you know, personal feelings there were, the issue was, ‘How can we get this country through this time of crisis?’”
The Boston Globe recently asked Goodwin what she thought of the Clinton possibility:
Goodwin…said Obama’s consideration of Clinton for secretary of state is analogous to Lincoln’s selecting William Seward for the same post in 1861. Seward was considered the favorite for the Republican presidential nomination, as Clinton had been for this year’s Democratic nomination. Though initially dejected from the loss, Goodwin said, Seward eventually accepted Lincoln’s offer to join his Cabinet and the two men developed a productive friendship. “The parallel with Hillary is almost eerie,” she said yesterday.
The deal isn’t done (though Politico’s Mike Allen is reporting it’s close) and yet that hasn’t stopped the election-deprived punditocracy from feeding a frenzy about what the appointment would mean for Obama, for Hillary, for Bill, for the Republicans, for Iran, etc., etc.
But there is, I submit, a more important question that needs our attention: if Hillary Clinton is going to be the new William Seward, what’s going to be the new Seward’s Folly?
The old Seward’s Folly, you may recall, is Alaska, the purchase of which William Seward negotiated with Russia for a sum of $7.2 million in 1867, or about $104M in today’s dollars. (See the top of this post for the check used to pay the sum.) The Russians wanted to sell the territory because it was difficult to defend, and the U.S. government (in the person of Seward) wanted to buy it to keep it out of the hands of British Canada. The deal, which was struck at four in the morning and conducted in total secrecy, was roundly derided in the contemporary press–Horace Greeley hated it and the New York World called it a “sucked orange.” But in financial terms, at least, the purchase of Alaska was a remarkable success, thanks to the territory’s then-unknown gold and oil deposits.
Today there are far fewer opportunities for Clinton to make a similar definitive mark on the geographical outline of the United States. To pursue our traditional westering compulsion–our once-but-not-so-much-any-longer-Manifest Destiny–would mean pushing our way into Russian Siberia (an unattractive prospect for America and Russia alike), or into some of the smaller archipelagos of the Pacific Ocean (which, if rising sea levels have anything to say about it, likely won’t exist in hundred years).
Some might suggest that we should just get it over already and annex Canada. This would have the singular virtue of confounding a great quantity of Canadians, who, no longer able to found their identities on the bedrock formula Canadian = ~American, would be forced into the existential vacuum in which the rest of us attempt to exist. It would also presage what for me at least would be the highly attractive (and hilarious) prospect of nested separatist movements: Quebeçois extremists fighting for their autonomy from Ontarian extremists who are fighting for their autonomy from Washington D.C.
There are other possibilities. Mexico, I suspect, would be willing to part with a few of its northern states, though what we’d do with more desert is beyond me. Unless the government found a way to tax narcotrafficking, it just wouldn’t make much sense. Cuba is interesting, given the imminence of Fidel’s departure from this life, and especially because they might be able to teach us a thing or two about universal health care, but I think it fair to conclude that our defilement of Guantanamo Bay has basically disqualified any ambitions we might have for the rest of the island.
For my money, the best choice for Clinton’s future folly is Iceland. It’s small enough not to cause too much trouble, it’s apparently quite pleasant to visit, and, most attractively, it’s all but bankrupt, which means that we could likely swoop in and pick it up for a song. Maybe not a 104 million dollar song, but probably something well shy of the $25 billion we’re going to have to shell out to keep the American auto industry afloat. And last but certainly not least, we’d get Björk. What’s not to love?


One Comment
How about convincing Russia to join NATO? OK, they would have triple dose of French attitude but look at pluses:
1) Easy access to all crisis points in War on Terror from (Russian) land bases.
2) No more fuss about Missile Shield and NATO expansion.
3) All makers of advanced weaponry would be in NATO. Basically, existing gear like F-15 and F-16 are already superior to anything India or China can produce. No need for Joint Strike Fighter - save pile of cash!
Nov 21st, 2008
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